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Angers vs Nice prediction

France · Ligue 1
Angers badgeAngers#16 · 8 ptsLDLLW
0 - 2Full time
Nice badgeNice#6 · 17 ptsWWLWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Sofiane Diop 2'⚽ Jonathan Clauss 78'

Sunday, 8 November · 11:15 (Peru time) · Stade Raymond Kopa · Referee: Geoffrey Kubler

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Nice to score

81%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

86'🔁 Sub: Yassine Belkdim · Louis MoutonAngers
85'🔁 Sub: Hicham Boudaoui · Morgan SansonNice
83'🔁 Sub: Branco Van den Boomen · Anthony BermontAngers
83'🔁 Sub: Carlens Arcus · Lillian Rao-LisoaAngers
83'🔁 Sub: Prosper Peter · Usman SimbakoliAngers
79'🔁 Sub: Sepe Elye Wahi · Nathan NgoumouNice
78'⚽ Jonathan Clauss assist Gauthier HeinNice
72'🔁 Sub: Sofiane Diop · Gauthier HeinNice
72'🔁 Sub: Djibril Coulibaly · Axel WitselNice
70'🟨 Branco Van den BoomenAngers
70'🟨 Sofiane DiopNice
68'🔁 Sub: Jim Allevinah · Harouna DjibirinAngers
45'🔁 Sub: Mohamed Abdelmoneim · Xavier MandzaNice
32'🟨 Ousmane CamaraAngers
30'🟨 Carlens ArcusAngers
2'⚽ Sofiane Diop assist Mohamed AmouraNice

Win probability minute by minute

AngersDrawNice
At kick-off22%31%47%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

22%Angers to win@4.56
31%Draw@3.27
47%Nice to win@2.11
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score58%
Angers or draw53%
Nice or draw78%
Angers to score67%
Nice to score81%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-19%1-29%0-09%0-28%

Expected goals per the model: Angers 1.11 · Nice 1.68

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals17%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals15%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.79.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.4 in total · Angers 4.7 · Nice 5.7

65%Over 8.5@1.53
55%Over 9.5@1.81
45%Over 10.5@2.21
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.4 · el árbitro Geoffrey Kubler saca 4.8 por partido

60%Over 3.5@1.66
44%Over 4.5@2.29
29%Over 5.5@3.42

⏱️ First half

59% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.64

81%Goal in the 1st half@1.24
49%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.05
68%Goal in the 2st half@1.46

⚽ Goals per team

30%Angers +1.5@3.28
50%Nice +1.5@2.00
10%Angers to win to nil@9.59

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.70Expected goals (xG)1.82
3Shots on target8
6Saves4
11Shots16
3Yellow cards1
6Corners4
0Offsides1
10Fouls6
0Red cards0
51Possession %49

Goals in the last 10 matches

Angers · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.8goals per match
2.5vs Lille: 0-2 0-2 en Auxerre: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Rennes: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Le Havre: 0-0 0-0 vs Estac Troyes: 2-0 2-0 en Stade Brestois 29: 1-5 1-5 ambosvs Marseille: 2-5 2-5 ambosvs Lorient: 0-0 0-0 en Lyon: 0-2 0-2 vs Nice: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Nice · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.7goals per match
2.5vs Lorient: 0-0 0-0 en Paris FC: 0-3 0-3 vs Le Mans: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Auxerre: 0-1 0-1 vs Lille: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Strasbourg: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Lyon: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Stade Brestois 29: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Rennes: 5-2 5-2 ambosat Angers: 2-0 2-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

AngersNice
1.0Goals scored per match1.4
1.9Goals conceded per match1.3
78%Matches with over 1.5 goals78%
44%Matches with over 2.5 goals67%
44%Both teams to score67%
33%Clean sheet11%
44%Matches without scoring33%
6.0Corners won per match5.7
1.4Yellow cards per match2.4

Angers: 9 matches · Nice: 9 matches (all competitions with data).

Angers at home · Nice away

Angers at home
1G1E3P
DLWLL
Nice away
1G0E3P
WLLLD

When do they score and concede?

Angers · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded
230-150316-302631-452246-602061-751376-90
Nice · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded
130-152116-304331-451246-603161-752276-90

The first goal

Angers

Scores first in 3 of 7 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 0.

Nice

Scores first in 3 of 8 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Angers

P. Peter · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

A. El Ouazzani · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Amine Sbai · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Nice

Sepe Elye Wahi · 5 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Jonathan Clauss · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Mohamed Amoura · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2Angers to win
1Draws
7Nice to win

10 matches · 2.4 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-03-14Angers 0-2 NiceLigue 1
2025-12-07Nice 0-1 AngersLigue 1
2025-04-20Nice 2-1 AngersLigue 1
2024-09-01Angers 1-4 NiceLigue 1
2023-04-02Angers 1-1 NiceLigue 1
2022-09-18Nice 0-1 AngersLigue 1

Standings

Ligue 1 standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10+1223
2Lille10+721
3Paris FC10+720
4Marseille10+818
5Lyon10+617
6Nice10+317
7Monaco10+216
8Rennes10016
9Stade Brestois 2910+615
10Lorient10+115
11Lens10+213
12Toulouse10+113
13Strasbourg10-410
14Auxerre10-1110
15Le Mans10-78
16Angers10-108
17Estac Troyes10-108
18Le Havre10-132

More stats

Referee: Geoffrey Kubler

10 matches · 4.8 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.40 penalties

Half-time

Angers: 7 days since last match · Nice: 8 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:50 UTC.

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