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Andorra vs Gibraltar prediction

International · UEFA Nations League

Andorra#3 · 1 ptsLLDLL

14:45Fri Nov 13

Gibraltar#2 · 2 ptsWDDDW

47%32%21%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 14:45 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Andorra or draw

79%

Partial data

⚡ Summary

47%Andorra to win@2.14 27%Over 2.5 goals@3.75 33%Both teams to score@3.06 32%Corners +9.5 (8.1)@3.1747%Cards +4.5 (4.6)@2.141-0Most likely score · 19%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Andorra and Gibraltar meet in the UEFA Nations League.

The PickMania model gives Andorra a 47% chance of winning, 32% for the draw and 21% for Gibraltar.

1.8 total goals are expected (1.1 from Andorra and 0.7 from Gibraltar): over 2.5 goals has a 27% chance and both teams to score 33%.

The most likely score is 1-0.

Probabilities

47%Andorra to win@2.14

32%Draw@3.10

21%Gibraltar to win@4.78

Over 1.5 goals53%

Over 2.5 goals27%

Over 3.5 goals11%

Both teams to score33%

Andorra or draw79%

Gibraltar or draw53%

Andorra to score67%

Gibraltar to score47%

Most likely scores

1-019%0-018%1-112%2-011%0-111%

Expected goals per the model: Andorra 1.13 · Gibraltar 0.65

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 1.78.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.1 in total · Andorra 4.4 · Gibraltar 3.7

41%Over 8.5@2.41

32%Over 9.5@3.17

23%Over 10.5@4.30

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.6

63%Over 3.5@1.58

47%Over 4.5@2.14

32%Over 5.5@3.13

⏱️ First half

46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.83

56%Goal in the 1st half@1.78

20%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@4.98

61%Goal in the 2st half@1.63

⚽ Goals per team

31%Andorra +1.5@3.21

14%Gibraltar +1.5@7.21

35%Andorra to win to nil@2.87

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Andorra · last 10 matches

4/10+2.5 goals1/10both teams to score1.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Gibraltar · last 6 matches

2/6+2.5 goals2/6both teams to score2.2goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

AndorraGibraltar

0.3Goals scored per match1.8

1.3Goals conceded per match0.3

56%Matches with over 1.5 goals67%

33%Matches with over 2.5 goals33%

11%Both teams to score33%

33%Clean sheet67%

78%Matches without scoring33%

4.5Corners won per match2.8

2.8Yellow cards per match1.8

Andorra: 9 matches · Gibraltar: 6 matches (all competitions with data).

Andorra at home · Gibraltar away

Andorra at home

1G0E1P

Gibraltar away

1G1E0P

When do they score and concede?

Andorra · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded

Gibraltar · goals by minute in 6 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Andorra

Scores first in 2 of 7 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.

Gibraltar

Scores first in 2 of 4 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Andorra

Guillaume Lopez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Gibraltar

D. Borge · 3 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

Tjay De Barr · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

B. Lopes · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

0Andorra to win

2Draws

2Gibraltar to win

4 matches · 0.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-27	Gibraltar 0-0 Andorra	UEFA Nations League
2024-09-04	Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra	Friendlies
2022-11-19	Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra	Friendlies
2021-06-07	Andorra 0-0 Gibraltar	Friendlies

Standings

UEFA Nations League standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Malta	3	+2	7
2	Gibraltar	2	0	2
3	Andorra	3	-2	1

More stats

Half-time

Andorra: 40 days since last match · Gibraltar: 39 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC.