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Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction
International · UEFA Europa League
Anderlecht
Red Bull SalzburgPre-match probabilities
Thursday, November 5 · 12:45 (Peru time) · Lotto Park · Referee: Elcin Masiyev
Anderlecht or draw
78%- At home, Anderlecht are 7W 1D 1L this season
- #15 in the table, Red Bull Salzburg #26
- Red Bull Salzburg have 10 players out
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Anderlecht 1.51 · Red Bull Salzburg 1.03
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.54.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.7 in total · Anderlecht 4.6 · Red Bull Salzburg 5.1
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.3 · el árbitro Elcin Masiyev saca 3.0 por partido
⏱️ First half
42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.06
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Anderlecht: 19 matches · Red Bull Salzburg: 18 matches (all competitions with data).
Anderlecht at home · Red Bull Salzburg away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 10 of 18 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 13 of 17 matches and wins 11 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
M. Cvetkovic · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Enric Llansana · 0 goles, 2 assists in 2 matches
Jayden Onia-Seke · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
H. Tabakovic · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
J. Lindstrom · 2 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches
S. Kitano · 1 gol, 2 assists in 4 matches
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 | Unión St. Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 | OFI | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 | Plzen | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 | Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More stats
7 matches · 3.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Anderlecht: 4 days since last match · Red Bull Salzburg: 4 days
I. Camara, L. Hey, I. Koutsoupias, K. Sardella, M. Winkler
E. Aguilar, A. Chase, S. Kitano, F. Matijasevic, J. Mellberg, J. Moser, J. Omoregie, D. Redzic, D. Schmid, N. Veratschnig, J. Lindstrom
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 00:40 UTC.