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Anaitasuna vs Alavés prediction

Spain · Copa del Rey

AnaitasunaWW

1 - 6Full time

AlavésDLDLL

4%8%88%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Jonny Otto 28'⚽ M. Diaz 37'⚽ C. Juaristi 43'⚽ M. Rodriguez 55'⚽ M. Diaz 57'⚽ A. Manas 79'⚽ C. Alena 86'

Tuesday, November 10 · 13:00 (Peru time) · Txerloia Futbol Zelaia

🎯 Model pick

Over 2.5 goals

77%

Partial data

3+ goals in 2 of 2 Anaitasuna matches
Picky expects 4.3 goals (0.9 - 3.4)

⚡ Summary

88%Alavés to win@1.13 77%Over 2.5 goals@1.30 42%Both teams to score@2.37 0-2Most likely score · 10%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

86'⚽ C. Alena assist T. MartinezAlavés

80'🔁 Sub: J. Aramendi · J. DiazAnaitasuna

80'🔁 Sub: U. Perez · J. OdriozolaAnaitasuna

79'⚽ A. ManasAlavés

75'🔁 Sub: M. Diaz · T. MartinezAlavés

75'🔁 Sub: D. Suarez · A. GuevaraAlavés

71'🔁 Sub: N. Valentini · N. TenagliaAlavés

69'🔁 Sub: A. Pastrian · J. OlaizolaAnaitasuna

69'🔁 Sub: J. Larramendi · E. SudupeAnaitasuna

65'🔁 Sub: C. Protesoni · M. Diallo SeluAlavés

65'🔁 Sub: A. Perez · A. ManasAlavés

62'🔁 Sub: H. Hazim · L. JuaristiAnaitasuna

57'⚽ M. Diaz assist A. PerezAlavés

55'⚽ M. Rodriguez assist C. AlenaAlavés

43'⚽ C. Juaristi assist A. GuembeAnaitasuna

37'⚽ M. Diaz assist Jonny OttoAlavés

33'🟨 J. AramendiAnaitasuna

28'⚽ Jonny Otto assist M. DiazAlavés

Win probability minute by minute

AnaitasunaDrawAlavés

At kick-off4%8%88%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

4%Anaitasuna to win@24.33

8%Draw@13.04

88%Alavés to win@1.13

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals77%

Over 3.5 goals59%

Both teams to score42%

Anaitasuna or draw12%

Alavés or draw96%

Anaitasuna to score58%

Alavés to score97%

Most likely scores

0-210%0-39%1-28%1-38%0-17%

Expected goals per the model: Anaitasuna 0.89 · Alavés 3.44

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 4.33.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 2.05

87%Goal in the 1st half@1.15

61%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@1.65

90%Goal in the 2st half@1.11

⚽ Goals per team

22%Anaitasuna +1.5@4.47

86%Alavés +1.5@1.17

1%Anaitasuna to win to nil@68.49

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1Shots on target8

4Shots20

10Fouls5

1Corners5

1Offsides5

34Possession %66

1Yellow cards0

5Saves0

Goals in the last 10 matches

Anaitasuna · last 3 matches

3/3+2.5 goals2/3both teams to score6.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Alavés · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

AnaitasunaAlavés

5.0Goals scored per match1.3

1.0Goals conceded per match1.4

100%Matches with over 1.5 goals67%

100%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%

50%Both teams to score58%

50%Clean sheet33%

0%Matches without scoring25%

Anaitasuna: 2 matches · Alavés: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Anaitasuna at home · Alavés away

Anaitasuna at home

1G0E0P

Alavés away

0G3E3P

DLLDL

When do they score and concede?

Anaitasuna · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded

Alavés · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Anaitasuna

Scores first in 1 of 1 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 0 and avoids defeat in 0.

Alavés

Scores first in 4 of 10 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Anaitasuna

J. Errazu · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

J. Aramendi · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

M. Zubizarreta · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Alavés

Mariano Díaz · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

H. Novoa Ramos · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

A. Manas · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

More stats

Half-time

Anaitasuna: 38 days since last match · Alavés: 3 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-10 20:30 UTC.