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Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés prediction

Spain · Copa del Rey

Amorebieta

1 - 0Full time

UD LogroñésL

34%33%34%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ X. Larralde 77'

Tuesday, November 10 · 14:00 (Peru time) · Instalaciones de Lezama

🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

75%

Partial data

Picky expects 2.8 goals (1.4 - 1.4)

⚡ Summary

34%UD Logroñés to win@2.97 50%Over 2.5 goals@2.00 56%Both teams to score@1.78 1-1Most likely score · 14%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+4🟨 UD Logroñés

88'🟨 D. NavarroUD Logroñés

83'🔁 Sub: J. Luis · U. BenitoAmorebieta

77'⚽ X. LarraldeAmorebieta

75'🔁 Sub: M. Barandalla · D. NavarroUD Logroñés

73'🔁 Sub: J. Etxaniz · GuillermoAmorebieta

62'🔁 Sub: M. Zabala · A. MoralesUD Logroñés

62'🔁 Sub: P. Brito · Q. RiveroUD Logroñés

61'🔁 Sub: Reka · X. LarraldeAmorebieta

61'🔁 Sub: T. Ajuriagoikoa · G. AgirreAmorebieta

61'🔁 Sub: D. Amigo · I. AsenjoUD Logroñés

52'🟨 J. MuguruzaAmorebieta

46'🔁 Sub: P. Ba · I. SantanaUD Logroñés

46'🔁 Sub: A. Intxausti · J. MuguruzaAmorebieta

37'🟨 P. BaUD Logroñés

Win probability minute by minute

AmorebietaDrawUD Logroñés

At kick-off34%33%34%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

34%Amorebieta to win@2.97

33%Draw@3.05

34%UD Logroñés to win@2.97

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals32%

Both teams to score56%

Amorebieta or draw66%

UD Logroñés or draw66%

Amorebieta to score73%

UD Logroñés to score74%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-010%0-18%1-08%1-27%

Expected goals per the model: Amorebieta 1.40 · UD Logroñés 1.40

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.80.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

41%Amorebieta +1.5@2.45

41%UD Logroñés +1.5@2.45

16%Amorebieta to win to nil@6.15

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Season comparison

AmorebietaUD Logroñés

0.0Goals scored per match0.0

0.0Goals conceded per match0.0

0%Matches with over 1.5 goals0%

0%Matches with over 2.5 goals0%

0%Both teams to score0%

0%Clean sheet0%

0%Matches without scoring0%

Amorebieta: 0 matches · UD Logroñés: 0 matches (all competitions with data).

Amorebieta at home · UD Logroñés away

Amorebieta at home

0G0E0P

UD Logroñés away

0G0E0P

Head to head

3Amorebieta to win

3Draws

2UD Logroñés to win

8 matches · 2.1 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-01-18	UD Logroñés 4-1 Amorebieta	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
2025-10-18	Amorebieta 2-1 UD Logroñés	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
2023-04-23	Amorebieta 1-0 UD Logroñés	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
2022-11-27	UD Logroñés 1-1 Amorebieta	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
2021-07-24	Amorebieta 1-1 UD Logroñés	Friendlies Clubs
2020-12-16	Amorebieta 1-0 UD Logroñés	Copa del Rey

More stats

Half-time

Amorebieta: – days since last match · UD Logroñés: – days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-10 21:30 UTC.