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Ammanford AFC vs Briton Ferry prediction
Wales · Premier League
Ammanford AFC
Briton FerryPre-match probabilities
Friday, November 6 · 14:45 (Peru time) · Ammanford Recreation Ground · Referee: M. James
Briton Ferry or draw
85%- Ammanford AFC in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
- Head to head: 7W 1D 2L for Briton Ferry
- Bowen is on fire: 2 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Ammanford AFC 0.99 · Briton Ferry 2.06
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.05.
Corners, cards and first half
⏱️ First half
46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.41
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Ammanford AFC: 15 matches · Briton Ferry: 15 matches (all competitions with data).
Ammanford AFC at home · Briton Ferry away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 3 of 15 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 8 of 15 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
M. Fisher · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
J. M. Case · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
J. Evans · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
L. Bowen · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
T. Walters · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
T. Price · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.3 goals per match
| 2026-07-31 | Briton Ferry 2-1 Ammanford AFC | Premier League |
| 2024-04-09 | Briton Ferry 4-0 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
| 2024-02-24 | Ammanford AFC 2-1 Briton Ferry | FAW Championship |
| 2023-09-19 | Ammanford AFC 0-1 Briton Ferry | League Cup |
| 2023-02-10 | Ammanford AFC 1-2 Briton Ferry | FAW Championship |
| 2022-11-04 | Briton Ferry 2-1 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 16 | +48 | 44 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 16 | +25 | 38 |
| 3 | Penybont | 15 | +21 | 36 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay | 16 | +10 | 32 |
| 5 | Airbus UK | 16 | +10 | 30 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 16 | +21 | 29 |
| 7 | Barry Town | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 8 | Cardiff MET | 16 | +6 | 25 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 16 | -15 | 19 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 16 | -11 | 16 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 16 | -11 | 15 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 16 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 16 | -30 | 12 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 16 | -29 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 15 | -36 | 2 |
More stats
8 matches · – yellows and – reds per match · 0.50 penalties
Ammanford AFC: 7 days since last match · Briton Ferry: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 22:20 UTC.