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Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor prediction

Türkiye · Süper Lig
Alanyaspor badgeAlanyaspor#13 · 12 ptsLLLDW
0 - 2Full time
Trabzonspor badgeTrabzonspor#2 · 25 ptsLWWWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ W. Pina 17'⚽ M. Salah 34'

Sunday, November 8 · 10:30 (Peru time) · Bahcesehir Okullari Stadium · Referee: Oguzhan Cakir

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Trabzonspor or draw

82%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+4🟨 C. NwaiwuTrabzonspor
89'🔁 Sub: P. Onuachu · A. HabesogluTrabzonspor
89'🔁 Sub: M. Salah · M. MimarogluTrabzonspor
82'🟨 F. AlitiAlanyaspor
80'🔁 Sub: E. Muci · M. EskihellacTrabzonspor
76'🔁 Sub: Hwang Ui-Jo · I. KayaAlanyaspor
76'🔁 Sub: B. Gezek · E. KeskinAlanyaspor
69'🔁 Sub: O. Tufan · M. KabasakalTrabzonspor
62'🔁 Sub: A. Usluoglu · O. Ben AliAlanyaspor
34'⚽ M. Salah assist P. OnuachuTrabzonspor
17'⚽ W. Pina assist C. NwaiwuTrabzonspor

Win probability minute by minute

AlanyasporDrawTrabzonspor
At kick-off18%23%59%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

18%Alanyaspor to win@5.66
23%Draw@4.34
59%Trabzonspor to win@1.69
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score55%
Alanyaspor or draw41%
Trabzonspor or draw82%
Alanyaspor to score62%
Trabzonspor to score85%

Most likely scores

1-111%0-110%0-210%1-210%0-07%

Expected goals per the model: Alanyaspor 0.98 · Trabzonspor 1.96

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals16%1 goals23%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals17%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.94.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.2 in total · Alanyaspor 4.6 · Trabzonspor 4.6

54%Over 8.5@1.86
43%Over 9.5@2.31
34%Over 10.5@2.96
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.1 · el árbitro O. Cakir saca 4.4 por partido

56%Over 3.5@1.79
39%Over 4.5@2.56
25%Over 5.5@3.96

⏱️ First half

43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.27

72%Goal in the 1st half@1.39
36%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.76
81%Goal in the 2st half@1.23

⚽ Goals per team

26%Alanyaspor +1.5@3.89
58%Trabzonspor +1.5@1.72
8%Alanyaspor to win to nil@12.09

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0Shots on target5
11Shots21
8Fouls8
5Corners4
0Offsides3
37Possession %63
2Saves0
1.35Expected goals (xG)2.69

Goals in the last 10 matches

Alanyaspor · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5vs Beşiktaş: 1-0 1-0 en Eyüpspor: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Rizespor: 1-0 1-0 vs Göztepe: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Çorum FK: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Erzurumspor FK: 0-0 0-0 en Fenerbahçe: 0-3 0-3 vs Kocaelispor: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 0-5 0-5 vs Trabzonspor: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Trabzonspor · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals2/10both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5en Konyaspor: 0-1 0-1 vs Galatasaray: 4-0 4-0 en Samsunspor: 3-0 3-0 en KuPS: 4-2 4-2 ambosvs Beşiktaş: 2-0 2-0 vs Heart Of Midlothian: 2-0 2-0 en Rizespor: 4-3 4-3 ambosvs Gaziantep FK: 2-0 2-0 vs SC Freiburg: 0-1 0-1 at Alanyaspor: 2-0 2-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

AlanyasporTrabzonspor
0.9Goals scored per match2.0
1.6Goals conceded per match1.1
70%Matches with over 1.5 goals80%
60%Matches with over 2.5 goals53%
50%Both teams to score33%
30%Clean sheet40%
30%Matches without scoring27%
4.8Corners won per match5.3
1.6Yellow cards per match1.9

Alanyaspor: 10 matches · Trabzonspor: 15 matches (all competitions with data).

Alanyaspor at home · Trabzonspor away

Alanyaspor at home
1G2E1P
LDDWW
Trabzonspor away
3G1E3P
WWWLL

When do they score and concede?

Alanyaspor · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
110-151216-300331-451146-605561-751476-90
Trabzonspor · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
630-153316-308231-457446-602161-754376-90

The first goal

Alanyaspor

Scores first in 5 of 9 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.

Trabzonspor

Scores first in 10 of 15 matches and wins 8 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Alanyaspor

Ruan · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

A. Usluoglu · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

G. Makouta · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Trabzonspor

E. Muci · 1 gol, 4 assists in 4 matches

Franculino · 3 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches

M. Salah · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

4Alanyaspor to win
2Draws
4Trabzonspor to win

10 matches · 3.4 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-11Alanyaspor 1-1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
2025-12-17Trabzonspor 0-1 AlanyasporTürkiye Kupası
2025-11-08Trabzonspor 1-1 AlanyasporSüper Lig
2025-04-27Trabzonspor 4-3 AlanyasporSüper Lig
2025-01-08Trabzonspor 3-0 AlanyasporTürkiye Kupası
2024-11-30Alanyaspor 2-1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig

Standings

Süper Lig standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Galatasaray11+1228
2Trabzonspor11+1825
3Amed11+1323
4Beşiktaş11+1122
5Kasımpaşa11+620
6Fenerbahçe11+1919
7Kocaelispor11+419
8Başakşehir11+217
9Çorum FK11016
10Göztepe11+315
11Rizespor11-314
12Erzurumspor FK11-714
13Alanyaspor11-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11-911
15Konyaspor11-88
16Gaziantep FK11-108
17Samsunspor11-157
18Eyüpspor11-273

More stats

Referee: O. Cakir

17 matches · 4.2 yellows and 0.15 reds per match · 0.21 penalties

Half-time

Alanyaspor: 5 days since last match · Trabzonspor: 2 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:00 UTC.

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