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AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken prediction

Sweden · Allsvenskan
AIK Stockholm badgeAIK Stockholm#8 · 41 ptsLDWDL
3 - 2Full time
BK Hacken badgeBK Hacken#4 · 49 ptsWDWWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Johan Hove 27'⚽ Mikkel Rygaard Jensen 50'⚽ Charlie Steven Brian Pavey 52'⚽ adrian svanback 62'⚽ Eskil Smidesang Edh 90'

Sunday, November 8 · 10:30 (Peru time) · Strawberry Arena · Referee: Granit Maqedonci

Picky
🎯 Model pick

BK Hacken or draw

84%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'⚽ Eskil Smidesang Edh assist Kristoffer NordfeldtAIK Stockholm
88'🔁 Sub: Fredrik Nissen · Wilmer OlofssonAIK Stockholm
83'🟨 Martin EllingsenAIK Stockholm
82'🔁 Sub: Harry Joachim Hilvenius · Filip HelanderBK Hacken
80'🔁 Sub: Sixten Gustafsson · linus jaretegAIK Stockholm
80'🔁 Sub: Charlie Steven Brian Pavey · Lukas BergquistAIK Stockholm
79'🟨 Kristoffer NordfeldtAIK Stockholm
74'🔁 Sub: Julius Lindberg · Wilson Elliot Lindberg UhrströmBK Hacken
62'⚽ adrian svanback assist Adam LundqvistBK Hacken
62'🔁 Sub: Dino Beširović · Martin EllingsenAIK Stockholm
62'🔁 Sub: Lucas Assadi · Kevin FillingAIK Stockholm
57'🟨 Yannick Emilio GeigerAIK Stockholm
52'⚽ Charlie Steven Brian Pavey assist axel kouameAIK Stockholm
50'⚽ Mikkel Rygaard Jensen assist Gustav LindgrenBK Hacken
36'🟨 Dino BeširovićAIK Stockholm
27'⚽ Johan Hove assist Sixten GustafssonAIK Stockholm

Win probability minute by minute

AIK StockholmDrawBK Hacken
At kick-off16%24%59%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

16%AIK Stockholm to win@6.14
24%Draw@4.11
59%BK Hacken to win@1.68
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score65%
AIK Stockholm or draw41%
BK Hacken or draw84%
AIK Stockholm to score70%
BK Hacken to score89%

Most likely scores

1-110%1-29%0-28%1-37%2-26%

Expected goals per the model: AIK Stockholm 1.20 · BK Hacken 2.30

How many goals will there be?

3%0 goals11%1 goals18%2 goals22%3 goals19%4 goals27%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.50.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.8 in total · AIK Stockholm 5.3 · BK Hacken 5.5

69%Over 8.5@1.45
59%Over 9.5@1.69
49%Over 10.5@2.02
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.7 · el árbitro Granit Maqedonci saca 3.1 por partido

48%Over 3.5@2.09
31%Over 4.5@3.19
19%Over 5.5@5.25

⏱️ First half

48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.68

81%Goal in the 1st half@1.23
50%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.00
84%Goal in the 2st half@1.19

⚽ Goals per team

34%AIK Stockholm +1.5@2.96
67%BK Hacken +1.5@1.49
6%AIK Stockholm to win to nil@17.15

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.58Expected goals (xG)2.06
7Shots on target9
7Saves4
1Offsides1
16Shots16
4Yellow cards0
5Corners4
16Fouls13
0Red cards0
46Possession %54

Goals in the last 10 matches

AIK Stockholm · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals9/10both teams to score4.0goals per match
2.5en Malmo FF: 0-0 0-0 vs Vasteras SK FK: 1-4 1-4 ambosvs Mjallby AIF: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Halmstad: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs IF Brommapojkarna: 5-6 5-6 ambosvs IFK Goteborg: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Sirius: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs IF Elfsborg: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Gais: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs BK Hacken: 3-2 3-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

BK Hacken · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5vs Vasteras SK FK: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Gais: 0-0 0-0 vs Mjallby AIF: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Kalmar FF: 5-0 5-0 vs Orgryte IS: 3-0 3-0 en Malmo FF: 1-0 1-0 vs Degerfors IF: 4-0 4-0 en IF Brommapojkarna: 0-0 0-0 vs IFK Goteborg: 1-0 1-0 at AIK Stockholm: 2-3 2-3 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

AIK StockholmBK Hacken
1.6Goals scored per match1.8
1.7Goals conceded per match1.1
85%Matches with over 1.5 goals74%
70%Matches with over 2.5 goals52%
74%Both teams to score48%
15%Clean sheet48%
19%Matches without scoring15%
5.1Corners won per match5.8
2.3Yellow cards per match1.9

AIK Stockholm: 27 matches · BK Hacken: 27 matches (all competitions with data).

AIK Stockholm at home · BK Hacken away

AIK Stockholm at home
4G3E6P
DDLDL
BK Hacken away
6G5E2P
DWWDW

When do they score and concede?

AIK Stockholm · goals by minute in 27 matches scored conceded
360-157816-308731-456746-606961-75131076-90
BK Hacken · goals by minute in 27 matches scored conceded
760-159316-308831-4511346-605661-758476-90

The first goal

AIK Stockholm

Scores first in 8 of 25 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 17 and avoids defeat in 9.

BK Hacken

Scores first in 15 of 24 matches and wins 12 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 5.

Players in form

AIK Stockholm

axel kouame · 3 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Johan Hove · 3 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Sixten Gustafsson · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

BK Hacken

Julius Lindberg · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

adrian svanback · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Mikkel Rygaard Jensen · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

1AIK Stockholm to win
3Draws
6BK Hacken to win

10 matches · 3.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-27BK Hacken 0-0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
2026-03-09AIK Stockholm 4-0 BK HackenSvenska Cupen
2025-10-26AIK Stockholm 2-2 BK HackenAllsvenskan
2025-05-14BK Hacken 3-3 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
2024-10-06AIK Stockholm 0-2 BK HackenAllsvenskan
2024-06-02BK Hacken 4-1 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan

Standings

Allsvenskan standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Hammarby FF28+3758
2Sirius28+2358
3Djurgardens IF28+2952
4BK Hacken28+1749
5IF Elfsborg28+1146
6Vasteras SK FK28+245
7Malmo FF28+641
8AIK Stockholm28-341
9Gais28+840
10IFK Goteborg28-1039
11IF Brommapojkarna28-535
12Mjallby AIF28-1328
13Kalmar FF28-1826
14Degerfors IF28-2520
15Orgryte IS28-2720
16Halmstad28-3220

More stats

Referee: Granit Maqedonci

40 matches · 3.0 yellows and 0.05 reds per match · 0.05 penalties

Half-time

AIK Stockholm: 5 days since last match · BK Hacken: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:00 UTC.

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