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AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas prediction

Cyprus · 1. Division
AEL badgeAEL#3 · 18 ptsLLWWW
3 - 1Full time
Krasava Ypsonas badgeKrasava Ypsonas#14 · 5 ptsDDWLL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ L. Singh 33'⚽ A. Karo 76'⚽ R. Pardo 81'⚽ J. Tavares 88'

Saturday, November 7 · 09:00 (Peru time) · Alphamega Stadium · Referee: Chrysovalantis Theouli

Picky
🎯 Model pick

AEL to score

84%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'🔁 Sub: J. Tavares · G. PapageorgiouAEL
90'🔁 Sub: L. Singh · C. GeoffreyAEL
88'⚽ J. TavaresAEL
85'🟨 R. PardoKrasava Ypsonas
81'⚽ R. PardoKrasava Ypsonas
78'🔁 Sub: N. Boateng · D. MelnichenkoKrasava Ypsonas
78'🔁 Sub: E. Budnik · JekaKrasava Ypsonas
76'⚽ A. KaroAEL
73'🔁 Sub: F. R. Mughe · J. TavaresAEL
65'🔁 Sub: D. Paroutis · B. AlmeidaAEL
60'🟨 D. ParoutisAEL
58'🔁 Sub: S. Tabekou · A. AthanasiouKrasava Ypsonas
58'🔁 Sub: V. Papafotis · M. PanagidisKrasava Ypsonas
46'🔁 Sub: P. Angeli · R. PardoKrasava Ypsonas
39'🟨 S. TabekouKrasava Ypsonas
33'⚽ L. SinghAEL
28'🟨 D. KeitaKrasava Ypsonas

Win probability minute by minute

AELDrawKrasava Ypsonas
At kick-off59%27%14%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

59%AEL to win@1.71
27%Draw@3.68
14%Krasava Ypsonas to win@7.02
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score50%
AEL or draw86%
Krasava Ypsonas or draw41%
AEL to score84%
Krasava Ypsonas to score58%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-011%2-011%2-19%0-09%

Expected goals per the model: AEL 1.87 · Krasava Ypsonas 0.86

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals18%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals14%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.73.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.3 in total · AEL 7.5 · Krasava Ypsonas 2.8

64%Over 8.5@1.56
54%Over 9.5@1.86
44%Over 10.5@2.28
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 2.5

26%Over 3.5@3.91
14%Over 4.5@7.33
7%Over 5.5@14.78

⏱️ First half

43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.16

69%Goal in the 1st half@1.45
32%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.08
79%Goal in the 2st half@1.26

⚽ Goals per team

56%AEL +1.5@1.79
21%Krasava Ypsonas +1.5@4.70
33%AEL to win to nil@2.99

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

Goals in the last 10 matches

AEL · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.1goals per match
2.5en Akritas: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Anorthosis: 2-0 2-0 en Apoel Nicosia: 0-6 0-6 vs Nea Salamis: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Pafos: 2-0 2-0 vs Omonia 29is Maiou: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Omonia Aradippou: 2-0 2-0 vs Aris: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Omonia Nicosia: 0-2 0-2 vs Krasava Ypsonas: 3-1 3-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Krasava Ypsonas · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score2.9goals per match
2.5vs Enosis: 0-0 0-0 vs Omonia 29is Maiou: 0-3 0-3 en Omonia Aradippou: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Aris: 0-1 0-1 en Omonia Nicosia: 1-4 1-4 ambosvs Apollon Limassol: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Karmiotissa: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Olympiakos: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs AEK Larnaca: 2-2 2-2 ambosat AEL: 1-3 1-3 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

AELKrasava Ypsonas
1.4Goals scored per match1.0
1.6Goals conceded per match2.1
100%Matches with over 1.5 goals88%
50%Matches with over 2.5 goals75%
38%Both teams to score75%
38%Clean sheet0%
25%Matches without scoring25%
6.0Corners won per match3.5
0.8Yellow cards per match1.8

AEL: 8 matches · Krasava Ypsonas: 8 matches (all competitions with data).

AEL at home · Krasava Ypsonas away

AEL at home
3G0E1P
LWWWL
Krasava Ypsonas away
0G1E2P
DLLLD

When do they score and concede?

AEL · goals by minute in 8 matches scored conceded
020-150316-302131-453146-603361-753376-90
Krasava Ypsonas · goals by minute in 8 matches scored conceded
020-151316-306131-450346-601161-750776-90

The first goal

AEL

Scores first in 5 of 8 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 0.

Krasava Ypsonas

Scores first in 1 of 8 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

AEL

L. Singh · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

C. Geoffrey · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

J. Tavares · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Krasava Ypsonas

Y. Bahassa · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

E. Budnik · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

I. Chebake · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

1AEL to win
1Draws
1Krasava Ypsonas to win

3 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-02Krasava Ypsonas 1-1 AEL1. Division
2026-02-09Krasava Ypsonas 3-0 AEL1. Division
2025-10-26AEL 1-0 Krasava Ypsonas1. Division

Standings

1. Division standings
#TeamPGDPts
1AEK Larnaca9+1120
2Omonia Nicosia9+1118
3AEL9018
4Apoel Nicosia9+1017
5Apollon Limassol9+1016
6Pafos9+616
7Aris9015
8Omonia 29is Maiou9-211
9Olympiakos9-19
10Nea Salamis9-48
11Anorthosis9-106
12Karmiotissa9-146
13Omonia Aradippou9-66
14Krasava Ypsonas9-115

More stats

Half-time

AEL: 6 days since last match · Krasava Ypsonas: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 16:30 UTC.

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