Home › Cyprus · 1. Division › AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa
AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa prediction
Cyprus · 1. Division
AEK Larnaca
KarmiotissaPre-match probabilities
Friday, November 6 · 12:00 (Peru time) · AEK Arena · Referee: Andreas Tehrany
AEK Larnaca to win
81%- AEK Larnaca have won 3 of their last 5 (D W D W W)
- At home, AEK Larnaca are 3W 0D 2L this season
- Karmiotissa in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: AEK Larnaca 2.80 · Karmiotissa 0.70
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.50.
Corners, cards and first half
🟨 Cards
Expected: 2.4
⏱️ First half
43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.52
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
AEK Larnaca: 10 matches · Karmiotissa: 8 matches (all competitions with data).
AEK Larnaca at home · Karmiotissa away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 6 of 10 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 4 of 7 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
N. Andereggen · 3 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
R. Bajic · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
A. Trica · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
D. A. Reynolds · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
P. Psychas · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.2 goals per match
| 2025-02-22 | Karmiotissa 0-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| 2024-11-25 | AEK Larnaca 2-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| 2024-01-26 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| 2023-10-21 | AEK Larnaca 5-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
| 2023-02-04 | Karmiotissa 1-3 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
| 2022-10-30 | AEK Larnaca 4-0 Karmiotissa | 1. Division |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 9 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Omonia Nicosia | 9 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | AEL | 9 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | Apoel Nicosia | 9 | +10 | 17 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 9 | +10 | 16 |
| 6 | Pafos | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 | Aris | 9 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Olympiakos | 9 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Nea Salamis | 9 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Anorthosis | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 9 | -14 | 6 |
| 13 | Omonia Aradippou | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Krasava Ypsonas | 9 | -11 | 5 |
More stats
AEK Larnaca: 6 days since last match · Karmiotissa: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 19:30 UTC.