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AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid prediction
International · UEFA Champions League
AEK Athens FC
Real Madrid⚽ Aboubakary Koita 12'⚽ Jude Bellingham 32'⚽ Stavros Pilios 75'⚽ Kylian Mbappé 78'⚽ Federico Valverde 90'🟥 Aboubakary Koita 90'
Wednesday, November 4 · 12:45 (Peru time) · Allwyn Arena · Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Minuto a minuto
90'+5🟥 Aboubakary KoitaAEK Athens FC
90'+2⚽ Federico Valverde assist Brahim DíazReal Madrid
88'🔁 Sub: Luka Jovic · Oleksandr ZubkovAEK Athens FC
86'🔁 Sub: Jude Bellingham · Carlos EspíReal Madrid
81'🔁 Sub: Marc Cucurella · Brahim DíazReal Madrid
81'🔁 Sub: Vinícius · Álvaro Fernández CarrerasReal Madrid
78'⚽ Kylian Mbappé assist Denzel DumfriesReal Madrid
75'⚽ Stavros Pilios assist Aboubakary KoitaAEK Athens FC
67'🔁 Sub: Yan Diomande · Federico ValverdeReal Madrid
67'🔁 Sub: Bernardo Silva · Endrick Felipe Moreira de SousaReal Madrid
65'🟨 Marc CucurellaReal Madrid
60'🔁 Sub: Mijat Gaćinović · Răzvan MarinAEK Athens FC
60'🔁 Sub: Kaan Kairinen · Barnabás VargaAEK Athens FC
53'🔁 Sub: Lovro Majer · Ambrósini António Cabaça SalvadorAEK Athens FC
34'🟨 Kervin ArriagaAEK Athens FC
32'⚽ Jude Bellingham assist Marc CucurellaReal Madrid
12'⚽ Aboubakary Koita assist Luka JovicAEK Athens FC
Match stats
5Shots on target8
5Saves3
1Red cards0
9Shots24
1Yellow cards1
0Offsides2
0Corners7
9Fouls16
30Possession %70
0.87Expected goals (xG)3.45
Goals in the last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.4goals per match
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
9/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score4.0goals per match
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 4 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 4 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 | Como | 4 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 4 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 | Manchester City | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 | Club Brugge KV | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 | Sporting CP | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 | Real Betis | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 | Bayern München | 4 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 | Inter | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 | Lask Linz | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 | Galatasaray | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 | Fenerbahçe | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | AS Roma | 4 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 | Viking | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 | Atlético Madrid | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 | PSV Eindhoven | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 | Bodo/Glimt | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 | FC Porto | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 | Napoli | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 | Villarreal | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 | Sabah FA | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 | Feyenoord | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 | Lens | 4 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 | Slavia Praha | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 | Lille | 4 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 4 | -16 | 0 |
More stats
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-05 08:10 UTC.