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AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos prediction

Greece · Super League 1
AEK Athens FC badgeAEK Athens FC#3 · 20 ptsLLWLL
2 - 1Full time
Levadiakos badgeLevadiakos#13 · 6 ptsWDDLL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Moses David Cobnan 26'⚽ Luka Jovic 51' (p)⚽ Barnabás Varga 55'🟥 Răzvan Marin 80'

Sunday, November 8 · 10:00 (Peru time) · Allwyn Arena · Referee: Moschou Dimitrios

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

78%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+6🔁 Sub: Aboubakary Koita · Dereck KutesaAEK Athens FC
90'+6🔁 Sub: Lovro Majer · Kaan KairinenAEK Athens FC
90'+4🟨 Aboubakary KoitaAEK Athens FC
85'🔁 Sub: Jonathan Panzo · Agustin UrziLevadiakos
85'🔁 Sub: Giannis Kosti · Konstantinos GoumasLevadiakos
84'📺 Kervin ArriagaAEK Athens FC
82'🔁 Sub: Luka Jovic · Kervin ArriagaAEK Athens FC
80'📺 Răzvan MarinAEK Athens FC
80'🟥 Răzvan MarinAEK Athens FC
78'🔁 Sub: Giorgos Nikas · Juan BauzaLevadiakos
77'🔁 Sub: Moses David Cobnan · Dimitrios EmmanouilidisLevadiakos
77'🟨 Barnabás VargaAEK Athens FC
72'🟨 Mijat GaćinovićAEK Athens FC
61'🔁 Sub: Petros Mantalos · Milan VitálisAEK Athens FC
58'🔁 Sub: Adrian Sut · Panagiotis SymelidisLevadiakos
55'⚽ Barnabás Varga assist Mijat GaćinovićAEK Athens FC
51'⚽ Luka Jovic (pen.)AEK Athens FC
47'📺 Răzvan MarinAEK Athens FC
45'🔁 Sub: Spyros Christakopoulos · Mijat GaćinovićAEK Athens FC
26'⚽ Moses David Cobnan assist Alexandru Grigoraş PanteaLevadiakos

Win probability minute by minute

AEK Athens FCDrawLevadiakos
At kick-off74%19%8%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

74%AEK Athens FC to win@1.35
19%Draw@5.40
8%Levadiakos to win@13.07
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score39%
AEK Athens FC or draw92%
Levadiakos or draw26%
AEK Athens FC to score89%
Levadiakos to score46%

Most likely scores

2-014%1-012%3-010%2-18%1-18%

Expected goals per the model: AEK Athens FC 2.28 · Levadiakos 0.62

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals16%1 goals23%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals17%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.90.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.0 in total · AEK Athens FC 4.8 · Levadiakos 4.2

51%Over 8.5@1.96
41%Over 9.5@2.46
31%Over 10.5@3.19
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.9

52%Over 3.5@1.93
35%Over 4.5@2.85
22%Over 5.5@4.54

⏱️ First half

40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.15

68%Goal in the 1st half@1.46
32%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.14
83%Goal in the 2st half@1.21

⚽ Goals per team

66%AEK Athens FC +1.5@1.50
13%Levadiakos +1.5@7.78
47%AEK Athens FC to win to nil@2.12

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.52Expected goals (xG)0.57
5Shots on target2
1Saves5
2Offsides3
1Red cards0
16Shots7
3Yellow cards0
10Corners6
13Fouls8
69Possession %31

Goals in the last 10 matches

AEK Athens FC · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.4goals per match
2.5vs Lask Linz: 1-0 1-0 en Asteras Tripolis: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Volos NFC: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs OFI: 3-0 3-0 en Shakhtar Donetsk: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Manchester City: 1-5 1-5 ambosvs Panetolikos: 5-0 5-0 en Panathinaikos: 0-2 0-2 vs Real Madrid: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Levadiakos: 2-1 2-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Levadiakos · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals1/10both teams to score1.7goals per match
2.5en PAOK: 0-4 0-4 vs Panathinaikos: 0-2 0-2 vs Panetolikos: 0-2 0-2 en Kifisia: 0-0 0-0 vs Olympiakos Piraeus: 0-1 0-1 en Iraklis 1908: 0-2 0-2 vs Volos NFC: 0-0 0-0 en Asteras Tripolis: 0-0 0-0 vs Aris Thessalonikis: 3-0 3-0 at AEK Athens FC: 1-2 1-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

AEK Athens FCLevadiakos
2.1Goals scored per match0.3
1.1Goals conceded per match1.2
86%Matches with over 1.5 goals56%
64%Matches with over 2.5 goals22%
43%Both teams to score0%
50%Clean sheet44%
14%Matches without scoring89%
4.5Corners won per match4.4
1.7Yellow cards per match1.9

AEK Athens FC: 14 matches · Levadiakos: 9 matches (all competitions with data).

AEK Athens FC at home · Levadiakos away

AEK Athens FC at home
6G0E1P
LWWWW
Levadiakos away
0G2E2P
DLDLL

When do they score and concede?

AEK Athens FC · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
620-156016-302431-454246-607161-755776-90
Levadiakos · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded
110-150016-301231-450046-600361-751576-90

The first goal

AEK Athens FC

Scores first in 11 of 13 matches and wins 7 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 0.

Levadiakos

Scores first in 1 of 6 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

AEK Athens FC

Aboubakary Koita · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Stavros Pilios · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Zini · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Levadiakos

Giorgos Nikas · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Alexandru Grigoraş Pantea · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Marios Vichos · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

9AEK Athens FC to win
1Draws
0Levadiakos to win

10 matches · 2.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-02-22AEK Athens FC 4-0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
2025-09-14Levadiakos 0-1 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
2024-12-22AEK Athens FC 1-1 LevadiakosSuper League 1
2024-09-01Levadiakos 0-3 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1
2023-02-13AEK Athens FC 3-0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
2022-10-24Levadiakos 0-2 AEK Athens FCSuper League 1

Standings

Super League 1 standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Panathinaikos10+1727
2Olympiakos Piraeus10+1123
3AEK Athens FC9+1720
4PAOK10+619
5Aris Thessalonikis10-119
6OFI10+217
7Kifisia10014
8Kalamata10-412
9Iraklis 190810-310
10Panetolikos10-129
11Asteras Tripolis10-97
12Atromitos9-36
13Levadiakos10-96
14Volos NFC10-120

More stats

Half-time

AEK Athens FC: 3 days since last match · Levadiakos: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 17:30 UTC.

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