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ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
Netherlands · Eredivisie
ADO Den Haag
Sparta RotterdamPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 12:45 (Peru time) · Bingoal Stadion · Referee: Alex Bos
Over 1.5 goals
83%- 2+ goals in 10 of 11 ADO Den Haag matches
- Also in 10 of 11 Sparta Rotterdam matches
- Head to head: 2.6 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: ADO Den Haag 1.50 · Sparta Rotterdam 1.73
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.23.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.6 in total · ADO Den Haag 4.9 · Sparta Rotterdam 5.7
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.6
⏱️ First half
44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.43
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
ADO Den Haag: 11 matches · Sparta Rotterdam: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
ADO Den Haag at home · Sparta Rotterdam away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 1 of 11 matches and wins 0 of them.
Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 3 of 11 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 4.
Players in form
E. Rottier · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Y. Eduardo · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
N. Thomas · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
Milan Zonneveld · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Jens Toornstra · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.6 goals per match
| 2025-07-12 | ADO Den Haag 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-03-19 | ADO Den Haag 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2024-07-13 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 ADO Den Haag | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-12-20 | ADO Den Haag 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam | KNVB Beker |
| 2023-08-01 | ADO Den Haag 1-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-12-04 | ADO Den Haag 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | +25 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | +17 | 25 |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | +18 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | -13 | 12 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | -29 | 3 |
More stats
ADO Den Haag: 6 days since last match · Sparta Rotterdam: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:20 UTC.