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Aberdeen vs Hibernian prediction

Scotland · Premiership
Aberdeen badgeAberdeen#11 · 11 ptsLLWLD
0 - 4Full time
Hibernian badgeHibernian#10 · 11 ptsDLLLD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Jamie McGrath 57'⚽ Callum·Wright 79'⚽ Nicky Cadden 87'⚽ Thibault Klidjé 90'

Saturday, 7 November · 12:45 (Peru time) · Pittodrie Stadium

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Aberdeen to score

76%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+3⚽ Thibault Klidjé assist Callum·WrightHibernian
87'⚽ Nicky CaddenHibernian
80'🔁 Sub: Martin Boyle · Rabbi MatondoHibernian
80'🔁 Sub: Jack Iredale · Nicky CaddenHibernian
79'⚽ Callum·WrightHibernian
75'🔁 Sub: Joe Newell · Callum·WrightHibernian
74'🔁 Sub: Owen Elding · Thibault KlidjéHibernian
68'🔁 Sub: Afeez Aremu Olalekan · Stuart ArmstrongAberdeen
61'🔁 Sub: Kevin Nisbet · Toyosi OlusanyaAberdeen
61'🔁 Sub: Tony Yogane · Lewis SmithAberdeen
61'🔁 Sub: Connor Patrick Ronan · M. NteloAberdeen
57'⚽ Jamie McGrath assist Joe NewellHibernian
50'🟨 Marko IvezicHibernian
17'🟨 Daniel HappeAberdeen
9'🔁 Sub: Felix Passlack · Alex WilliamsHibernian

Win probability minute by minute

AberdeenDrawHibernian
At kick-off41%32%27%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

41%Aberdeen to win@2.46
32%Draw@3.13
27%Hibernian to win@3.64
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score56%
Aberdeen or draw73%
Hibernian or draw59%
Aberdeen to score76%
Hibernian to score69%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-010%1-09%2-18%2-07%

Expected goals per the model: Aberdeen 1.46 · Hibernian 1.17

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals19%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals14%4 goals13%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.63.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.2 in total · Aberdeen 5.5 · Hibernian 5.7

72%Over 8.5@1.38
63%Over 9.5@1.58
53%Over 10.5@1.87
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.5

62%Over 3.5@1.62
45%Over 4.5@2.22
30%Over 5.5@3.28

⏱️ First half

51% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.33

74%Goal in the 1st half@1.36
38%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.61
73%Goal in the 2st half@1.37

⚽ Goals per team

43%Aberdeen +1.5@2.33
33%Hibernian +1.5@3.06
21%Aberdeen to win to nil@4.68

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.00Expected goals (xG)1.80
2Shots on target6
2Saves2
3Offsides1
15Shots21
1Yellow cards1
8Corners6
17Fouls13
0Red cards0
42Possession %58

Goals in the last 10 matches

Aberdeen · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5vs Rangers: 0-1 0-1 en Celtic: 0-3 0-3 vs Kilmarnock: 0-0 0-0 en Motherwell: 4-0 4-0 at Hibernian: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs ST Johnstone: 0-1 0-1 vs ST Mirren: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Dundee Utd: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Falkirk: 0-1 0-1 vs Hibernian: 0-4 0-4

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Hibernian · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score2.6goals per match
2.5en Dundee: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Heart Of Midlothian: 1-3 1-3 ambosen ST Johnstone: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Kilmarnock: 0-1 0-1 vs Aberdeen: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Dundee Utd: 0-1 0-1 vs Falkirk: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Celtic: 1-2 1-2 ambosen ST Mirren: 1-1 1-1 ambosat Aberdeen: 4-0 4-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

AberdeenHibernian
1.1Goals scored per match1.1
1.3Goals conceded per match1.4
64%Matches with over 1.5 goals76%
45%Matches with over 2.5 goals59%
36%Both teams to score71%
18%Clean sheet12%
55%Matches without scoring29%
5.8Corners won per match5.5
2.5Yellow cards per match1.7

Aberdeen: 11 matches · Hibernian: 17 matches (all competitions with data).

Aberdeen at home · Hibernian away

Aberdeen at home
2G1E3P
LWLDL
Hibernian away
2G3E3P
DLLWD

When do they score and concede?

Aberdeen · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
140-152116-301431-453146-601461-754076-90
Hibernian · goals by minute in 17 matches scored conceded
430-152316-302831-454046-603161-754976-90

The first goal

Aberdeen

Scores first in 3 of 10 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 1.

Hibernian

Scores first in 6 of 15 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Aberdeen

Kevin Nisbet · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Connor Patrick Ronan · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

B. Lyons · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Hibernian

Owen Elding · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

M. Boyle · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Marko Ivezic · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

3Aberdeen to win
3Draws
4Hibernian to win

10 matches · 3.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-19Hibernian 1-1 AberdeenPremiership
2026-04-11Aberdeen 2-0 HibernianPremiership
2025-12-30Hibernian 2-0 AberdeenPremiership
2025-10-26Aberdeen 1-2 HibernianPremiership
2025-04-26Aberdeen 1-0 HibernianPremiership
2025-02-01Hibernian 2-0 AberdeenPremiership

Standings

Premiership standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Celtic13+1831
2Rangers12+1227
3Falkirk13+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12+420
5Dundee12+317
6Dundee Utd12017
7ST Johnstone13-317
8ST Mirren13-1014
9Motherwell13-613
10Hibernian12-211
11Aberdeen12-611
12Kilmarnock13-169

More stats

Half-time

Aberdeen: 9 days since last match · Hibernian: 9 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:20 UTC.

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