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1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 prediction

Germany · Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim badge1899 Hoffenheim#9 · 12 ptsDLDWW
2 - 1Full time
FC Schalke 04 badgeFC Schalke 04#17 · 6 ptsLLDLL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Fisnik Asllani 10'⚽ Tim Lemperle 26'⚽ Junior Chukwubuike Adamu 81'

Sunday, November 8 · 13:30 (Peru time) · Prezero Arena · Referee: Martin Petersen

Picky
🎯 Model pick

1899 Hoffenheim or draw

85%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+6🔁 Sub: Tim Lemperle · Max Moerstedt1899 Hoffenheim
81'⚽ Junior Chukwubuike AdamuFC Schalke 04
78'🔁 Sub: Mats Rots · Bernardo Fernandes da Silva Junior1899 Hoffenheim
78'🔁 Sub: Fisnik Asllani · Adam Daghim1899 Hoffenheim
77'🔁 Sub: Dejan Ljubičić · Edin DžekoFC Schalke 04
76'🟨 Hwang Hee-ChanFC Schalke 04
70'🔁 Sub: Andrej Kramarić · Adam Hložek1899 Hoffenheim
70'🔁 Sub: Mertcan Ayhan · Junior Dina EbimbeFC Schalke 04
70'🔁 Sub: Satoshi Tanaka · Junior Chukwubuike AdamuFC Schalke 04
52'🔁 Sub: Loris Karius · Kevin MüllerFC Schalke 04
51'🔁 Sub: Robin Gosens · Vitalie BeckerFC Schalke 04
26'⚽ Tim Lemperle assist Fisnik Asllani1899 Hoffenheim
10'⚽ Fisnik Asllani1899 Hoffenheim

Win probability minute by minute

1899 HoffenheimDrawFC Schalke 04
At kick-off59%26%15%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

59%1899 Hoffenheim to win@1.70
26%Draw@3.88
15%FC Schalke 04 to win@6.46
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score60%
1899 Hoffenheim or draw85%
FC Schalke 04 or draw41%
1899 Hoffenheim to score87%
FC Schalke 04 to score64%

Most likely scores

1-112%2-19%2-09%1-09%0-07%

Expected goals per the model: 1899 Hoffenheim 2.07 · FC Schalke 04 1.03

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals14%1 goals22%2 goals22%3 goals17%4 goals20%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.10.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.0 in total · 1899 Hoffenheim 6.5 · FC Schalke 04 4.5

71%Over 8.5@1.42
61%Over 9.5@1.64
51%Over 10.5@1.95
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.0 · el árbitro Martin Petersen saca 3.5 por partido

54%Over 3.5@1.86
37%Over 4.5@2.70
24%Over 5.5@4.23

⏱️ First half

33% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.01

64%Goal in the 1st half@1.57
27%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.73
88%Goal in the 2st half@1.14

⚽ Goals per team

61%1899 Hoffenheim +1.5@1.63
28%FC Schalke 04 +1.5@3.63
29%1899 Hoffenheim to win to nil@3.43

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.94Expected goals (xG)2.61
7Shots on target6
4Saves5
6Offsides2
15Shots23
6Corners4
0Yellow cards1
10Fouls9
0Red cards0
49Possession %51

Goals in the last 10 matches

1899 Hoffenheim · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.2goals per match
2.5en SC Paderborn 07: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Hamburger SV: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Beşiktaş: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Borussia Mönchengladbach: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Lyon: 3-0 3-0 vs Bayer Leverkusen: 3-0 3-0 en Holstein Kiel: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Werder Bremen: 0-2 0-2 en Crystal Palace: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs FC Schalke 04: 2-1 2-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

FC Schalke 04 · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score1.8goals per match
2.5en FC Augsburg: 0-3 0-3 vs Bayern München: 0-0 0-0 en Unión Berlin: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs SV Elversberg: 0-0 0-0 en SC Freiburg: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs FSV Mainz 05: 0-1 0-1 at 1. FC Köln: 0-0 0-0 en Dynamo Dresden: 0-2 0-2 vs RB Leipzig: 0-2 0-2 at 1899 Hoffenheim: 1-2 1-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

1899 HoffenheimFC Schalke 04
1.8Goals scored per match0.9
1.6Goals conceded per match1.3
100%Matches with over 1.5 goals60%
71%Matches with over 2.5 goals40%
64%Both teams to score30%
21%Clean sheet30%
14%Matches without scoring70%
7.5Corners won per match3.9
2.6Yellow cards per match1.7

1899 Hoffenheim: 14 matches · FC Schalke 04: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

1899 Hoffenheim at home · FC Schalke 04 away

1899 Hoffenheim at home
3G0E3P
WWLLW
FC Schalke 04 away
2G1E3P
LDLWL

When do they score and concede?

1899 Hoffenheim · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
510-152316-304131-455546-604561-755876-90
FC Schalke 04 · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
010-152216-300231-451146-601061-755776-90

The first goal

1899 Hoffenheim

Scores first in 9 of 14 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.

FC Schalke 04

Scores first in 1 of 7 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

1899 Hoffenheim

Andrej Kramarić · 2 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

Alexander Prass · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Adam Hložek · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

FC Schalke 04

Kenan Karaman · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Adrian Gantenbein · 0 goles, 1 assists in 2 matches

Head to head

61899 Hoffenheim to win
2Draws
2FC Schalke 04 to win

10 matches · 3.7 goals per match

Recent meetings
2023-04-091899 Hoffenheim 2-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
2022-10-181899 Hoffenheim 5-1 FC Schalke 04DFB Pokal
2022-10-14FC Schalke 04 0-3 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
2021-05-081899 Hoffenheim 4-2 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
2021-01-09FC Schalke 04 4-0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
2020-03-07FC Schalke 04 1-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga

Standings

Bundesliga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern München9+2021
2Borussia Dortmund9+921
3SC Freiburg9+1019
4RB Leipzig9+1418
5Bayer Leverkusen9+316
6Werder Bremen9+215
7SV Elversberg9-113
8VfB Stuttgart9012
91899 Hoffenheim9-112
10Eintracht Frankfurt9-512
11Hamburger SV9-1012
12FSV Mainz 059-110
13SC Paderborn 079-310
14FC Augsburg909
151. FC Köln9-49
16Unión Berlin9-147
17FC Schalke 049-66
18Borussia Mönchengladbach9-134

More stats

Referee: Martin Petersen

15 matches · 3.3 yellows and 0.17 reds per match · 0.50 penalties

Half-time

1899 Hoffenheim: 3 days since last match · FC Schalke 04: 8 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 21:00 UTC.

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