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1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction
Germany · Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
Bayer LeverkusenPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 09:30 (Peru time) · RheinEnergieStadion · Referee: Felix Zwayer
Over 1.5 goals
82%- 2+ goals in 8 of 10 1. FC Köln matches
- Also in 13 of 14 Bayer Leverkusen matches
- Head to head: 2.9 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: 1. FC Köln 1.18 · Bayer Leverkusen 1.97
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.15.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.9 in total · 1. FC Köln 4.5 · Bayer Leverkusen 6.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.9 · el árbitro Felix Zwayer saca 4.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
39% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.22
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
1. FC Köln: 10 matches · Bayer Leverkusen: 14 matches (all competitions with data).
1. FC Köln at home · Bayer Leverkusen away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 3 of 9 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 8 of 14 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Said El Mala · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Linton Maina · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Jonas Hofmann · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Aleix García · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Patrik Schick · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.9 goals per match
| 2026-04-25 | 1. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 2025-12-13 | Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-05 | Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 1. FC Köln | DFB Pokal |
| 2024-03-03 | 1. FC Köln 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 2023-10-08 | Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| 2023-05-05 | Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Unión Berlin | 9 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | -13 | 4 |
More stats
33 matches · 4.0 yellows and 0.33 reds per match · 0.22 penalties
1. FC Köln: 7 days since last match · Bayer Leverkusen: 2 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 17:00 UTC.